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Free tool · Live AMD example
What could AMD be worth in 5 years?
Set a bear, base and bull forecast and get a price target for each in seconds. Try it free on AMD below, then unlock any stock you want to research.
Free preview · AMD
This is the real Price Target Builder, loaded with AMD's actual numbers. Change the bear, base and bull assumptions below and watch the price targets move. The company figures are locked in the free preview.
Company today
Margin = net income ÷ revenue.
Your forecast
| Bear | Base | Bull | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth %/yr | |||
| Margin in final year % | |||
| Exit P/E × | |||
| Share count change %/yr |
Share change: positive = dilution from stock pay or new shares, negative = buybacks.
Revenue forecast in $ millions. Prefilled from the growth rates; overwrite any year with analyst estimates or your own.
| Year | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|
Implied price in 5 years
Probability-weighted price
–
Implied return per year
–
Odds:
Path to each target
Each line climbs or falls at a steady yearly rate from today's price to that case's target. Real prices never move this smoothly; the end points are what the model calculates.
BearBaseBullToday's price
What moves the base case most
Base-case price if the exit multiple (rows) and final margin (columns) land higher or lower. Green beats today's price, red falls short. Outlined cell = your base case.
How the math works
For each year: revenue × margin × multiple ÷ shares = price per share. On sales (P/S) the margin is skipped: revenue × multiple ÷ shares.
Implied return per year is (future price ÷ today's price)^(1 ÷ years) − 1. "Worth today" discounts the future price back at the return you require, so it is the most you could pay now and still earn that return if the case comes true.
Dividends are not included. If profit is negative in a case, there is no meaningful price on earnings or cash flow, so the tool shows "n/m".
Morning headlines
What investors are reading today
Updated Tue, Oct 13
MarketsStock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as earnings season kicks off
Yahoo Finance ↗
EarningsBank earnings and chip pressure drive mixed trading
The Motley Fool ↗
MarketsNasdaq edges lower as banks report earnings
TheStreet ↗
LiveDow, S&P live updates for October 13
Bloomberg ↗
EarningsQ3 earnings week: 51 companies report, led by big banks and UnitedHealth
24/7 Wall St. ↗
GlobalTSX today: what to watch for in stocks on Tuesday, October 13
The Motley Fool Canada ↗
Headlines link to the original publishers. Refreshed every weekday morning before the market opens. Not financial advice.
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Built by a college investor, for college investors.
I'm a student with a part-time job who invests every paycheck I can and breaks down companies on YouTube. Every tool here is one I built for myself first.